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估值基数(元)
未来N年增长(%)
折现率(%) 相当于 - 倍PE
永续增长率(%)
估值(亿元)

-

计算估值
总市值(亿元)

-

阶段 未来值 现值
暂无数据
- +

建议参数

最近1年(归母净利)
-
选我填入估值基数
三年平均(归母)
-
选我
五年平均(归母)
-
选我
十年平均(归母)
-
选我
建议折现率(%)
-
使用并填入折现率

复合增长率

3年增长(%)
-
选我填入近年增长
5年增长(%)
-
选我
8年增长(%)
-
选我
10年增长(%)
-
选我
上市以来增长(%)
-
选我

说明:


一、关于估值基数
  1. 不要迷信自由现金流,大多企业没有还不好算。如果你非要算,我也不拦你,你自已算好填入基数框就可以了。
  2. 长期来说净利润等于经营现金流净额,且净利润中还包含折旧,如果长期不等于先看看是不是假账
  3. 我们给了四种口径的归母净利,如果差异太大,不建议使用DCF估值,他不适合

二、未来x年增长
  1. 我们提供了四个值,要选就选最低的。如果波动很大的周期股,最好放弃DCF估值法
  2. 阶段建议用5年左右,正常人的眼界最多看到五年后的企业,说十年后企业是什么样子,其实都是瞎猜。
  3. 建议保守,30~40+增速的企业不适合DCF(除非使用年份少)

三、关于折现率
  1. 建议使用我们的参数
  2. 不用也是可以,但你至少要知道他是什么意思

四、永续增长率
  1. 为了避免你过份乐观,我们锁死了上限(上限3%)
  2. 默认是0,我们也建议使用0,哪有什么永远?都是骗鬼的话

五、其它用途
  1. 如果你要算复利,其它值填零,只填基数。然后看未来值,要看几年加几年
  2. 同理估算通胀贬值也是可以的,只填期数和折现率,其它填零然后看现值,要看几年加几年
  3. 另外你还可以测算企业需要多少的成长,才能配的上现在的市值

评价数据

N年折现合计

-

永续价值

-

估值

-

证券代码600887
上市年数26.15
财报时间2018-12-31
财报季节4
财报评分92
财报平均分95.6
最终参考30.73
估值pb3.85
估值pe20.94
dcf34.13
VP.7987
R0.043
R1229修30.73
每股收益1.47
成长评分12292
成长估值122935.98
close_now38.47
pe_now38.5921
pb_now9.9597
wr626.7677
wr1041.5323
ratio_day_fail0%
ratio_success100%
r_count_success5
r_count_fail0
r_count_unknow0
刷新日期2022/5/2 1:00:44
评语

经营性利润占86.73

现金流优秀,超过了净利润

净资产收益率23.01,历害!

毛利率38.27还可以哟!

净利率8.11有点低,企业靠走量?

期间费用29.06有点多,毛利润是不是都被三费给吃了?

卖货很快不愁销路,37.71天内就能把货走完

账期超短,只要5.12天钱就收回来了

资金周转很快,能占用他人资金来运营

生产性资产占36.5

负债大多都是经营性的,占总负债83.72不错

销售费用24.85,收入是推广驱动的?

可以占用上下游资金,能欠货款65.88天!

短期没有还款压力

自选False

财报原始数据

600887
伊利股份
内蒙古伊利实业集团股份有限公司
食品饮料
乳制品
640013.1
19960312
L
61598
内蒙古
呼和浩特市
www.yili.com
H
sql
26|238
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600887
2016-12-31
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a_6
600887
2015-12-31
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a_7
600887
2014-12-31
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a_8
600887
2013-12-31
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a_9
600887
2012-12-31
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a_10
600887
2011-12-31
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a_11
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2010-12-31
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2009-12-31
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