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估值基数(元)
未来N年增长(%)
折现率(%) 相当于 - 倍PE
永续增长率(%)
估值(亿元)

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计算估值
总市值(亿元)

-
阶段 未来值 现值
暂无数据
- +

建议参数

最近1年(归母净利)
-
选我填入估值基数
三年平均(归母)
-
选我
五年平均(归母)
-
选我
十年平均(归母)
-
选我
建议折现率(%)
-
使用并填入折现率

复合增长率

3年增长（%）
-
选我填入近年增长
5年增长（%）
-
选我
8年增长（%）
-
选我
10年增长（%）
-
选我
上市以来增长（%）
-
选我

说明:


一、关于估值基数
  1. 不要迷信自由现金流,大多企业没有还不好算。如果你非要算，我也不拦你，你自已算好填入基数框就可以了。
  2. 长期来说净利润等于经营现金流净额,且净利润中还包含折旧，如果长期不等于先看看是不是假账
  3. 我们给了四种口径的归母净利,如果差异太大,不建议使用DCF估值，他不适合

二、未来x年增长
  1. 我们提供了四个值，要选就选最低的。如果波动很大的周期股，最好放弃DCF估值法
  2. 阶段建议用5年左右，正常人的眼界最多看到五年后的企业，说十年后企业是什么样子，其实都是瞎猜。
  3. 建议保守，30~40+增速的企业不适合DCF（除非使用年份少）

三、关于折现率
  1. 建议使用我们的参数
  2. 不用也是可以，但你至少要知道他是什么意思

四、永续增长率
  1. 为了避免你过份乐观，我们锁死了上限（上限3%）
  2. 默认是0，我们也建议使用0，哪有什么永远？都是骗鬼的话

五、其它用途
  1. 如果你要算复利，其它值填零，只填基数。然后看未来值，要看几年加几年
  2. 同理估算通胀贬值也是可以的，只填期数和折现率，其它填零然后看现值，要看几年加几年
  3. 另外你还可以测算企业需要多少的成长，才能配的上现在的市值

评价数据

N年折现合计

-
永续价值

-
估值

-
证券代码600817
上市年数28.27
财报时间2018-12-31
财报季节4
财报评分55
财报平均分46.2
最终参考6.08
估值pb1.43
估值pe8.54
dcf7.91
VP.7763
R0.09
R1229修6.08
每股收益.71
成长评分12290
成长估值12296.78
close_now7.83
pe_now-1
pb_now3.0804
wr650.5952
wr1059.1133
ratio_day_fail100%
ratio_success0%
r_count_success0
r_count_fail1
r_count_unknow0
刷新日期2022/5/2 1:07:41
评语

经营性利润占90.5

现金流和利润差很多，难道赚的是假钱？

ROE仅有4.67,回报率很低啊

毛利率35.19还可以哟！

净利率12.6还不错

三费占比18.5

卖货很快不愁销路，0天内就能把货走完

账期超短，只要0天钱就收回来了

应收款 票据占营收80.17，赊销出去那么多？还是钱被客户占用了？

资金周转很快，能占用他人资金来运营

轻资产企业，固定类资产仅有0.02

投资资产有不少，企业都投了些啥？

能占用供应商资金108.74天！

少数股东拿了净利润的20.39

自选False

财报原始数据

600817
宇通重工
宇通重工股份有限公司
商贸零售
一般物业经营
53937.34
19940128
L
10954
河南
郑州市
www.yutongzg.com
N
sql
28|238
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2015-12-31
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2014-12-31
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2013-12-31
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2012-12-31
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2011-12-31
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2010-12-31
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2009-12-31
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2008-12-31
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