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估值基数(元)
未来N年增长(%)
折现率(%) 相当于 - 倍PE
永续增长率(%)
估值(亿元)

-

计算估值
总市值(亿元)

-

阶段 未来值 现值
暂无数据
- +

建议参数

最近1年(归母净利)
-
选我填入估值基数
三年平均(归母)
-
选我
五年平均(归母)
-
选我
十年平均(归母)
-
选我
建议折现率(%)
-
使用并填入折现率

复合增长率

3年增长(%)
-
选我填入近年增长
5年增长(%)
-
选我
8年增长(%)
-
选我
10年增长(%)
-
选我
上市以来增长(%)
-
选我

说明:


一、关于估值基数
  1. 不要迷信自由现金流,大多企业没有还不好算。如果你非要算,我也不拦你,你自已算好填入基数框就可以了。
  2. 长期来说净利润等于经营现金流净额,且净利润中还包含折旧,如果长期不等于先看看是不是假账
  3. 我们给了四种口径的归母净利,如果差异太大,不建议使用DCF估值,他不适合

二、未来x年增长
  1. 我们提供了四个值,要选就选最低的。如果波动很大的周期股,最好放弃DCF估值法
  2. 阶段建议用5年左右,正常人的眼界最多看到五年后的企业,说十年后企业是什么样子,其实都是瞎猜。
  3. 建议保守,30~40+增速的企业不适合DCF(除非使用年份少)

三、关于折现率
  1. 建议使用我们的参数
  2. 不用也是可以,但你至少要知道他是什么意思

四、永续增长率
  1. 为了避免你过份乐观,我们锁死了上限(上限3%)
  2. 默认是0,我们也建议使用0,哪有什么永远?都是骗鬼的话

五、其它用途
  1. 如果你要算复利,其它值填零,只填基数。然后看未来值,要看几年加几年
  2. 同理估算通胀贬值也是可以的,只填期数和折现率,其它填零然后看现值,要看几年加几年
  3. 另外你还可以测算企业需要多少的成长,才能配的上现在的市值

评价数据

N年折现合计

-

永续价值

-

估值

-

证券代码000651
上市年数25.46
财报时间2018-12-31
财报季节4
财报评分72
财报平均分101
最终参考68.25
估值pb5
估值pe16.73
dcf88.66
VP2.1868
R0.046
R1229修68.25
每股收益4.08
成长评分12291
成长估值122982.85
close_now31.21
pe_now22.355
pb_now3.3437
wr638.0952
wr1042.8571
ratio_day_fail60.49%
ratio_success93.48%
r_count_success43
r_count_fail3
r_count_unknow0
刷新日期2022/5/2 14:21:10
评语

经营性利润占96.82

现金流优秀,超过了净利润

净资产收益率28.45,历害!

毛利率30.88还可以哟!

净利率13.19还不错

三项费用占比14.65

卖货很快不愁销路,48.29天内就能把货走完

账期短74.54天能把钱收回来

资金流转很快,仅需2.36天就能循环一次

轻资产企业,固定类资产仅有7.98

负债率63.1超过一半啦

欠钱也是一种能力,其它类负债占比43.32

能占用供应商资金125.13天!

短期没有还款压力

自选False

财报原始数据

000651
格力电器
珠海格力电器股份有限公司
家电
白色家电
591446.9
19961118
L
81884
广东
珠海市
www.gree.com.cn
S
sql
26|238
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2016-12-31
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2015-12-31
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a_7
000651
2014-12-31
54545673449.14
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000651
2013-12-31
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a_9
000651
2012-12-31
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a_10
000651
2011-12-31
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000651
2010-12-31
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a_12
000651
2009-12-31
22904842912.31
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0
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a_13
000651
2008-12-31
3666298569.35
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500000
500000
500000
0
379282532.97
2010
371550774.34
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a_14
000651
2007-12-31
4130978834.98
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6262350
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a_15
000651
2006-12-31
1276847486.12
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a_16
000651
2005-12-31
572696054.22
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a_17
000651
2004-12-31
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